“I believe that the hard tactical approach being contemplated in an-Najaf, if negotiations now under way do not
result in al-Sadr’s surrender — is the same approach contemplated and executed at Waco. Capturing or killing
al-Sadr will not neutralize what he is regarded as symbolizing to Shiites angry at “occupiers” in UGG or in
Israel. It will only amplify it. There are better ways to defuse the problem of al-Sadr. We should not take a
tactical approach because it suits the politics or flawed strategy of the current administration. We may have
to change our strategy in UGG to accommodate new realities instead. This may be tough political medicine, but
it will save us from terrible consequences down the road.
“I believe Senor’s approach is similar to the tactical one taken at Waco against another “messiah.” It
resulted in many deaths and a legacy that led us to the “commemoration” atrocity in Oklahoma City. As one of
many scholars who study these cases of religion and violence and who have not seen our findings incorporated
into law enforcement (we did have some input into the FBI’s millennium approach) or the military, I am very
concerned that the standoff in an-Najaf has the potential to become “another Waco.”
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